May 6, 2020

Human behavior appears to be as predictably unpredictable in the 21st century as it was in the 17th century. There are astonishing parallels between our own concerns, obsessions and actions during the time of COVID-19 and the concerns, obsessions and actions of Londone...

April 22, 2020

At some point on the morning of Monday, April 20, I noticed that front-month crude oil futures were worth about $4 per barrel. "Shockingly low," I thought. "Crude oil will surely be worth more than that eventually."

Then I shrugged and went back to a different project,...

April 9, 2020

In an extremely challenging market environment for the ethanol industry -- when driving demand has fallen 80% in certain regions of the United States and some ethanol customers have declared force majeure to back out of contracts -- it's perhaps not surprising that eth...

March 11, 2020

Conventional wisdom (or at least the conventional wisdom among old cattle traders) says that when the stock market is doing well, cattle prices also tend to rise. Certainly we've seen this relationship, in mostly the opposite direction, during the last few weeks while...

February 26, 2020

Imagine you are a freight provider -- a trucker, say -- and the demand for your services is so poor that the market's freight rates have not only dropped to an all-time low, they've actually gone negative. You are effectively paying your customers just to give your fre...

February 12, 2020

Even more than in most years, this February feels too early to start caring about new-crop grain prices. I've just returned from another road trip through eastern North Dakota, and although it's difficult to judge what proportion of corn fields are unharvested versus h...

January 2, 2020

An American farmer from Jan. 1, 1920, and a farmer from Jan. 1, 2020, would hardly recognize each other, their operations having changed so profoundly in the past 100 years. The former would think our combine harvesters inconceivably large and our touchscreens unfathom...

Every once in a while, I go on Amazon and check the reviews for Mastering the Grain Markets: How Profits Are Really Made. Obviously, it's been a while -- the latest review was from July. And what a review it is! Absolutely makes me smile from ear to ear. I don't know J...

August 2, 2019

The annual Iowa Women in Agriculture conference has built a consistently excellent community which, year after year, offers truly valuable information and discussion opportunities. Here's where to register for next year: http://iowawomeninag.org/annual-conference/  And...

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Elaine Kub is the author of Mastering the Grain Markets: How Profits Are Really Made - 
a 360-degree look at all aspects of grain trading, which draws on her experiences as a futures broker, market analyst, grain merchandiser, and farmer. Before earning an engineering degree from the University of Nebraska - Lincoln and a Masters of Business Administration from the University of California San Diego, Kub grew up on a family farm in South Dakota, where she is still active in grain and livestock production. 

 

As well as sharing her ag market insights on television and various farm radio programs, Kub also focuses on quantitative analysis in a regular column for DTN The Progressive Farmer.

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